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Unit 3 of 3 · B.Sc Textile Sem 5

Unit 3: Forecast synthesis

Trend Forecast notes · PTU syllabus (BSTD 507-20)

3 min read2 topics4 exam questions
On this page
  1. Unit summary
  2. Past, present and future influences
  3. Presenting the forecast
  4. Key terms
  5. Quick revision
  6. Important questions

Unit summary

A forecast is a story supported by evidence. This unit explains how to link past and present influences, analyse and synthesise data and present a coherent forecast.

After this unit you can

  • Link past, present and future influences
  • Analyse data and draw conclusions
  • Present the forecast

PTU syllabus topics

  • Recognising past and present influences to forecast future ones
  • analysing and synthesising data to draw conclusions
  • presenting data to support a coherent forecast
ProcessBuilding a trend forecast
  1. 1

    Collect signals

  2. 2

    Cluster into themes

  3. 3

    Identify drivers

    Why is this happening?

  4. 4

    Predict direction and timing

  5. 5

    Translate into colour, fabric and silhouette

  6. 6

    Present on trend boards

1

Topic 1

Past, present and future influences

ProcessForecast synthesis
  1. 1

    Gather evidence

  2. 2

    Group into themes

  3. 3

    Find patterns

  4. 4

    Project into the next season

  5. 5

    Test against the customer

  6. 6

    Present

InfluenceExamples
SocialWork from home, wellness
EconomicPrices, spending power
TechnologyDigital printing, smart fabrics
CultureFilms, festivals, sports
EnvironmentSustainability, recycling
2

Topic 2

Presenting the forecast

A forecast presentation has: executive summary, evidence (images, data), key themes, colour and fabric direction, silhouettes and product ideas, and recommendations.

GraphForecast confidence falls with distance in time
Months aheadConfidenceOConfidence in forecast

Short-term forecasts are more reliable; long-range forecasts show direction rather than detail

Key terms

Synthesis
Combining data into a conclusion
Influence
Force shaping fashion
Executive summary
Short overview
Colour direction
Predicted palette
Evidence
Data and images supporting a claim

Quick revision

  • Past + present influences → future direction.
  • Back conclusions with evidence.
  • Short-term forecasts are more reliable.

Important exam questions

Practice questions written to the PTU exam pattern for this unit's syllabus: short answers (Section A style) and long answers (Sections B and C style).

Short-answer questions

  1. Q1.What is synthesis?
  2. Q2.Name three influences on fashion.
  3. Q3.What is an executive summary?

Long-answer questions

  1. Q1.Explain how a coherent forecast is prepared and presented.

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